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Numbers guideSourced · Hall 2011 · Helms 2014

How many calories to lose weight?

Quick estimate across 3 paces (slow, moderate, fast). For a full personalized calculation (Mifflin-St Jeor + macros), use the dedicated calculator.

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By Adrien Grusse

Published on April 29, 2026 · Updated on April 29, 2026

Your information

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yrs
cm
kg
kg

Optional — to estimate duration. Leave empty if you only want kcal/day.

Activity level

Mifflin-St Jeor estimate — the same formula as the full calculator, which additionally gives you macros, a weight projection and a shareable result.

Target

1,809kcal/d

Moderate · Recommended

⚠ Below your basal metabolic rate (1,809 kcal/day) — raise your output (walking, cardio) rather than cutting intake further.

Duration

32wks

0.33 kg/wks

Other paces

Slow

1,845

35 wks

Fast

1,809

32 wks

⚠ Below your basal metabolic rate (1,809 kcal/day) — raise your output (walking, cardio) rather than cutting intake further.

Mifflin-St Jeor BMR + activity-based TDEE + macros (protein, carbs, fat) in 30 seconds.

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The scientific formula: 7,700 kcal = 1 kg of fat

The principle is simple: 1 kg of adipose tissue contains ~87% pure lipids (the remaining 13% is water, protein and cellular structure). Since 1 g of lipid = 9 kcal of energy, we get:

1 kg of fat = ~7,700 kcal

(1,000 g × 87% × 9 kcal/g ≈ 7,830 kcal, rounded to 7,700 kcal in clinical practice)

This rule (Wishnofsky 1958) is still useful as a first approximation. Modern models (Hall 2011) show that reality is more dynamic — metabolic adaptation lowers TDEE during a deficit, slowing weight loss. But for setting a daily target, the 7,700 kcal/kg rule works very well over 8 to 12 weeks.

How many calories by profile

Concrete examples for the most common profiles. The deficit shown is moderate (-20%, the recommended equivalent in most cases).

ProfileTDEETargetPace
Male 60 kg, sedentary175 cm · 30 yrs1,8591,487−0.34 kg/wks
Male 80 kg, sedentary175 cm · 30 yrs2,0991,679−0.38 kg/wks
Male 80 kg, sport 3-5×/week175 cm · 30 yrs2,7112,168−0.49 kg/wks
Female 60 kg, sedentary165 cm · 30 yrs1,5841,267−0.29 kg/wks
Female 65 kg, sedentary165 cm · 30 yrs1,6441,315−0.30 kg/wks
Female 70 kg, sport 3-5×/week165 cm · 30 yrs2,2011,761−0.40 kg/wks

TDEE = Total Daily Energy Expenditure. Figures computed with Mifflin-St Jeor for the reference profile shown on each row (height and age): a different profile gives different numbers.

How many calories to lose 1, 5, 10, 20 kg?

For a given daily deficit, here is the theoretical duration to reach a weight loss goal. Note: for large losses (10-20 kg), add +20-30% duration due to metabolic adaptation.

GoalCumulative deficitSlow paceModerate paceFast pace
1 kg7,700 kcal~4 wks~2 wks~1.5 wks
2 kg15,400 kcal~9 wks~4 wks~3 wks
5 kg38,500 kcal~22 wks~11 wks~7 wks
10 kg77,000 kcal~44 wks~22 wks~15 wks
20 kg154,000 kcal~88 wks~44 wks~29 wks

Paces calculated on an average deficit of -300 kcal/day (slow), -500 kcal/day (moderate), -750 kcal/day (fast). For goals > 10 kg, split into 8-10 week blocks + 2-week diet breaks at TDEE (Byrne 2018).

5 traps that derail 80% of diets

Knowing your calorie target is not enough — here are the recurring mistakes that sabotage results, identified by weight-loss meta-analyses.

01

Underestimating intake

Lichtman (1992, NEJM) showed a -47% gap between declared and actual intake in overweight individuals. Solution: weigh all foods over 7 days to calibrate.

02

Not recalculating TDEE after losing 5 kg

Your expenditure drops with your weight (~25 kcal/kg lost) AND with metabolic adaptation. At -10 kg, your new kcal target is ~250 kcal below the previous one.

03

Going below 1,200 kcal (women) or 1,500 (men)

Risks: deficiencies (iron, B12), muscle loss, persistent metabolic slowdown. If the calculation falls below, increase output rather than cutting intake.

04

Neglecting protein

Without 1.8-2.2 g/kg of protein, you lose 30-40% muscle mass instead of 10-15%. The scale result is misleading — you lose muscle, not fat.

05

Bouncing back too fast after reaching the goal

Returning to your old maintenance = +3-5 kg in 2 weeks (60% as fat). Solution: reverse diet, +100 kcal/week over 4-6 weeks to stabilize.

Frequently asked questions about calories for weight loss

Scientific sources

The figures and recommendations on this page are based on 6 peer-reviewed studies listed below. All links point to the original source (PubMed, scientific journals).

  1. [1]Hall KD, Sacks G, Chandramohan D, et al. (2011). Quantification of the effect of energy imbalance on bodyweight. The Lancet. View sourcePMID : 21872751
  2. [2]Hall KD (2008). What is the required energy deficit per unit weight loss?. International Journal of Obesity. View sourcePMID : 17848938
  3. [3]Helms ER, Aragon AA, Fitschen PJ (2014). Evidence-based recommendations for natural bodybuilding contest preparation: nutrition and supplementation. Journal of the International Society of Sports Nutrition. View sourcePMID : 24864135
  4. [4]Lichtman SW, Pisarska K, Berman ER, et al. (1992). Discrepancy between self-reported and actual caloric intake and exercise in obese subjects. New England Journal of Medicine. View sourcePMID : 1454084
  5. [5]Byrne NM, Sainsbury A, King NA, et al. (2018). Intermittent energy restriction improves weight loss efficiency in obese men: the MATADOR study. International Journal of Obesity. View sourcePMID : 28925405
  6. [6]Heymsfield SB, Thomas D, Bosy-Westphal A, et al. (2012). Evolving concepts on adjusting human resting energy expenditure measurements for differences in body size. Obesity Reviews. View sourcePMID : 22862434
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About the author

Adrien Grusse

Founder of Micron

Adrien is the founder of Micron, the app that helps more than 150,000 users track their micronutrients daily. Before Micron, he worked on the Growth team at Finary (Y Combinator). Adrien is not a credentialed dietitian — his role here is to translate the scientific literature into accessible content, rigorously. Every article cites peer-reviewed sources (PubMed, Cochrane, recent meta-analyses); no claim is made without a verifiable reference. For individual medical follow-up, consult a healthcare professional.

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